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From 1999 to 2026: Tracking the surge in Nigeria’s national debt as it hits ₦159 trillion

nigerian-presidents
Nigerian presidents from 1999 to the present
Nigeria’s public debt is nearing ₦159 trillion, with estimates putting it at ₦724,000 per citizen. But the real issue isn’t what you think.
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If you woke up today feeling a little heavier, it might not just be the fufu you ate around 10 pm last night. 

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According to the latest figures from the Debt Management Office (DMO), Nigeria’s total public debt surged to ₦159.27 trillion by the end of 2025.

To put that in perspective: if we decided to split this bill equally among every man, woman, and child in Nigeria, you (and your toddler and your grandmother) would each owe roughly ₦724,000.

Before you start checking your bank app to see who authorised this "loan", let’s break down what these numbers actually mean for your daily life and the country's future.

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Where did all this money come from?

nigerias-debt-history
Debts

The ₦159 trillion comprises domestic and external borrowing.

  • Domestic Debt (The "Home" Front): This accounts for over ₦81 trillion. This is money the government borrows from within Nigeria—think treasury bills and bonds bought by local banks and investors.

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Total debt: trending toward ₦159 trillion

Since Nigeria’s population is roughly 230 million people, then ₦159 trillion divided by ~230 million people is approximately ₦700,000+ per person

That’s how estimates like ₦724,000 per Nigerian emerge.

Earlier in 2025, a similar calculation showed ₦652,000 per person when debt stood around ₦149 trillion.

Do you actually owe ₦724,000

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Broke man

No, you don’t. This figure is what economists call a per capita debt estimate.

It doesn’t mean you’ll be billed ₦724,000 or that the government expects you to pay it directly.

Instead, it answers a simpler question: If Nigeria’s total debt were shared equally, what would each person’s “portion” look like?

However, you pay this debt in other, more subtle ways:

  • Infrastructure Gaps: Every Naira spent on interest is a Naira not spent on fixing the major infrastructure or funding public universities.

Why does the number keep growing?

In the 2026 Budget, the government has earmarked ₦15.8 trillion just for debt servicing.

We are currently in a "borrowing to survive" phase. With a 2026 budget deficit projected at over ₦31 trillion, the government must take out new loans to pay off old ones and keep the lights on. 

It’s like using a new Opay loan to pay back your Palmpay loan.

From Obasanjo to Tinubu: A timeline of Nigeria's ₦159 trillion debt trajectory

To understand today’s ₦159 trillion debt, it helps to zoom out.

Over the past two decades, Nigeria’s borrowing has followed a clear pattern across different administrations:

1. Olusegun Obasanjo (1999-2007)

nigerias-debt-history
Olusegun Obasanjo (1999-2007)

Obasanjo inherited a country crippled by military-era debt and is the only president to leave the office with significantly less debt than he found.

  • Inherited Debt: ~₦3.55 trillion

  • Debt at Exit: ~₦2.42 trillion

Obasanjo secured an $18 billion debt write-off from the Paris Club in 2005. By paying off a lump sum of $12 billion, Nigeria cleared $30 billion in total foreign debt.

His regime also benefited from a massive boom in oil revenue

2. Umaru Musa Yar'Adua (2007-2010)

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Umaru Musa Yar'Adua (2007-2010)

Yar’Adua’s short tenure saw a return to borrowing, primarily to stabilise the economy during the 2008 global financial crisis.

  • Inherited Debt: ~₦2.42 trillion

  • Debt at Exit: ~₦4.94 trillion

He added roughly ₦2.52 trillion to the debt profile. Most of this was domestic borrowing to fund the budget as oil prices dipped temporarily during the global recession.

3. Goodluck Jonathan (2010-2015)

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Goodluck Jonathan (2010-2015)

During the Jonathan years, debt more than doubled, despite a period of relatively high oil prices.

  • Inherited Debt: ~₦4.94 trillion

  • Debt at Exit: ~₦12.60 trillion

His administration added roughly ₦7.66 trillion. The growth was driven by an increase in recurrent spending (salaries) and the first major entries into the international Eurobond market.

4. Muhammadu Buhari (2015-2023)

nigerias-debt-history
Muhammadu Buhari (2015-2023)

The Buhari era saw the most dramatic spike in Nigeria's history, as the country grappled with two recessions and the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Inherited Debt: ~₦12.60 trillion

  • Debt at Exit: ~₦87.38 trillion

Total debt increased by over 600% (adding ₦74.7 trillion). This includes the controversial ₦22.7 trillion "Ways and Means" advances from the Central Bank, which were eventually converted into formal long-term debt.

5. Bola Ahmed Tinubu (2023-present)

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Bola Ahmed Tinubu (2023-present)

As of the April 2026 DMO report, the debt stands at ₦159.28 trillion. While borrowing has continued, the massive jump is largely "mathematical".

  • Inherited Debt: ~₦87.38 trillion

  • Current Debt (April 2026): ₦159.28 trillion

In just under three years, the debt figure grew by ₦71.9 trillion.

Nigeria’s debt problem is basically a low revenue issue

Nigeria generates relatively low revenue compared to the size of its economy. The debt-to-GDP ratio is around 36–39%, which is below many global thresholds

That means:

  • There’s less money to repay loans

  • More pressure to borrow again

  • Debt servicing eats up a large part of government income

So the cycle continues.

Until Nigeria earns more than it borrows, every citizen will keep carrying the weight. That means progressive inflation, continuous hardship and renewed “shege”

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