It's Not 'Just' $125 Million: Nikola Jokić and Denver Face a Half-Billion Dollar Problem! One Signature Threatens to Break Up the Team
The Denver Nuggets are desperate to keep Peyton Watson, but their desire could come at a steep price. The power forward has already rejected the franchise's initial offer, seeking a more lucrative deal than Christian Braun, a situation that is far from simple to resolve from a financial standpoint.
According to NBA insider and ClutchPoints journalist Brett Siegel, Denver's front office has not given up on signing Watson to a new contract. However, the Nuggets' financial situation demands extreme caution, as the club has already surpassed the second apron of the luxury tax.
The Spencer Jones Case as a Trigger
Siegel vividly explained the situation: as soon as Denver matched Oklahoma's offer for Spencer Jones (a two-year, $12 million deal), their projected luxury tax bill exploded—from $36 million to a staggering $68 million.
Worse yet, that move automatically pushed them over the notorious second apron, effectively tying their hands regarding any potential sign-and-trade arrangements.
"Not letting Jones go pushed them over the limit. Their tax bill doubled, and they entered the most restrictive tax zone, from which there is no easy way out," Siegel concluded.
The Nuggets are currently the only team in the league in this restrictive zone, which further complicates negotiations with Watson.
Watson Wants More Than Braun
The main obstacle in the negotiations is the salary Watson is demanding. His camp is targeting a contract larger than the one Christian Braun received ($125 million over five years). While Denver is offering figures in the range of $14 to $18 million per season, Watson is seeking over $25 million.
Last season, Watson averaged 14.6 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 1.1 blocks per game, giving him strong leverage for a raise.
If they were to sign him to a contract worth $23 million per season—considered a realistic figure for his skill set—Denver's tax bill would skyrocket from $68 million to an incredible $231 million for the 2026/27 season!
When added to player salaries, which would be between $240 million and $250 million, the total cost approaches half a billion dollars!
Is a Parting of Ways Inevitable?
For a team built around Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray, this is a truly astronomical figure. The question is whether Watson is worth venturing so deep into the red, especially since the Nuggets drafted Trevon Brazile in the recent draft.
The young Brazile showed immense potential during the Summer League, scoring 51 points in his last two games. His profile (6'10" with a great vertical) is reminiscent of a modern version of Aaron Gordon.
The Los Angeles Clippers, Milwaukee Bucks, and Atlanta Hawks have all shown interest in Watson. If a compromise isn't reached, or if Watson doesn't accept the $6.5 million qualifying offer to become a free agent next summer, a trade remains the most realistic option to salvage Denver's budget.