2026 World Cup: Brazil's Slip-Up Boosts Portugal's Chances, Predicts Supercomputer

Brazil kicked off their 2026 World Cup campaign with a draw against Morocco, a result that, according to Opta's supercomputer, has bolstered Portugal's chances of lifting the world title.

Brazil's dip in probability wasn't significant. Despite the draw, the Canarinha still boasts excellent odds of advancing from the group stage — 96.92 percent, according to Opta. This is partly because, in the analytics and statistics site's predictions, Morocco is considered the second strongest team in Group C.

Nevertheless, Brazil saw their chances of becoming world champions reduced to 6.60 percent, leading to a slight increase for Portugal. Check out each team's probabilities in the gallery below:

The USA-Paraguay match had the biggest impact on the standings so far: with their victory, the Americans climbed to become the 13th most likely team to win; the South Americans, who Opta had ranked 22nd before the World Cup began, plummeted to 33rd.