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Thousands of truck drivers have lost their jobs this year in the trucking 'bloodbath.' Here's what's behind the slowdown in the $800 billion industry.

David Zalubowski/AP

Trucking is highly cyclical, and we're coming off from a massive uptick in the market

Carl Fleming has been a truck driver since 1977. But, like many truck drivers, he says 2019 has been especially rough for him.

Fleming is an owner-operator, or a truck driver who owns his own truck and works on a freelance basis. He said he's made $20,000 less this year compared with last year.

"My fuel costs have not gone down, nor my insurance costs," Fleming told Business Insider. "A lot of small owner-operators have thrown in the towel so to speak or have lost everything they own."

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It's not just truck drivers who are struggling. Major trucking companies have consistently missed and had to revise their earnings targets this year. (Although, on a positive note, J.B. Hunt, one of the industry's pathfinders, announced better-than-expected earnings last week. The announcement led to a rally in trucking stocks, and Cowen's Jason Seidl called it a "glimmer of hope" in an analyst note.)

But others expect the hard times to keep coming. Morgan Stanley's Ravi Shanker told investors that the bank's transportation team expected second-quarter earnings, which come out in July and early August, to be "poor." Morgan Stanley cut its estimates across the trucking sector by 4%.

"While there are some signs of hope in the data and expectations for a 2H rebound, we do not expect the damage in 1H to be undone," Shanker wrote in a note to investors.

There isn't one clean explanation for why a slowdown is hitting the $800 million trucking industry. But analysts and truck drivers pointed to a few reasons why it's on shaky ground in 2019.

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