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Here is how much surplus cocoa the world will have in the 2018/19 season according to Informa

Informa’s Agribusiness intelligence has said predicted that a global cocoa surplus in the 2018/19 season even though there will be record production driven by favourable weather in West Africa.

Cocoa

The report indicated that a global cocoa production was seen hitting a record high of 4.85 million tonnes, leading to a surplus of 71,000 tonnes for the October/September season, it said in a report.

Agribusiness intelligence analyst Sergey Chetvertakov said, “Massive cocoa production is almost certain this year and as a result, we may expect a very volatile market in 2019 as higher-than-expected production pressures cocoa prices.”

This will mean that the ICCO’s most recent estimate for the 2017/2018 season was a small surplus of 22,000 tonnes.

The leading cocoa producer Ivory Coast was projected to have a crop of 2.12 million tonnes, up from the prior season’s 1.96 million with second top producer Ghana predicted to produce 950,000 tonnes, up by 47,000 tonnes.

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The report also added that Europe and North America face saturated local markets and the growth rate of grinding was slowing down compared to the two previous seasons.

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