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Maize near record highs as markets wait for crucial rains

The December white maize contract was 2.8 percent lower at 3,992 rand a tonne, near the record 4,100 rand a tonne it scaled last week, according to Thomson Reuters data.

A farmer checks on his maiz crop in a file photo. REUTERS/Siphiwe Sibeko

South African maize prices remained near record highs on Monday on drought jitters, with the only pressure coming from a rand rebound after President Jacob Zuma named widely-respected Pravin Gordhan as finance minister.

The December white maize contract was 2.8 percent lower at 3,992 rand a tonne, near the record 4,100 rand a tonne it scaled last week, according to Thomson Reuters data.

White maize is the staple crop that provides the main source of calories for South Africa's lower-income households.

Traders said the main reason behind the dip was the rand's more than 5 percent surge after Zuma gave Gordhan the job late on Sunday, in a dramatic U-turn that gave Africa's most industrialised economy its third finance minister in a week.

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Rand weakness makes it more expensive to import maize and shortages are widely expected as farmers grapple with a searing drought exacerbated by an El Nino weather pattern.

This in turn puts upward pressure on food prices and inflation, with South Africa's poor black majority being the hardest hit - a scenario that could have political consequences for the ruling African National Congress (ANC) ahead of local elections next year.

The weather remains a concern.

"We had a little bit of rain over the weekend in areas where we need it in the Free State but we need more. And we need follow-up rain," said one trader.

The forecast remains bad for grain farmers, with below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures expected for most of the country throughout the course of the southern hemisphere summer, according to the South African Weather Service.

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"The El Nino may peak this month or next month but even when it starts weakening we may still have dry conditions because it is so strong," Cobus Olivier, a prediction scientist at the weather service, told Reuters.

Drought conditions last season shriveled the crop by a third to 9.94 million tonnes, the lowest since 2007.

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