ADVERTISEMENT

LIVE: It's the final countdown to the Senate tax bill vote

The Republican tax reform bill, named the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, will get a vote by the full Senate on Friday and it appears to have enough votes to pass.

  • The Senate is aiming for a final vote on the gigantic Republican tax bill on Friday.
  • It appears Republicans have enough votes to pass it.
  • The bill would make huge changes to business and individual taxes.
ADVERTISEMENT

The final vote on the massive Senate Republican tax bill is fast approaching on Friday as GOP leaders scrambled to make last-minute changes to their bill, a complete version of which emerged in the late evening.

Republicans appear to have the votes to pass the TCJA, but the situation is still fluid. Sen. John Cornyn, the second-ranking Senate Republican, said Friday morning that Republicans had enough votes to pass it. Sen. Bob Corker, a Republican holdout on the TCJA, said the bill would likely get through with or without his vote.

"

ADVERTISEMENT

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has attempted to appease deficit hawks, moderates, and members concerned about small business, all while keeping the TCJA within Senate rules.

The last-minute changes continued into Friday evening, as Republicans have yet to file the final version of their bill. The vote on Friday would come just three weeks after the bill, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), was introduced.

As the night rolls on, we'll be following along live, so check back for updates.

10:07: Here we go, time for amendment votes. (Updating...)

McConnell proceeded to votes on amendments. We'll updated as votes are taken:

ADVERTISEMENT

12:08: Pence breaks a tie on an amendment from Ted Cruz to expand 529 school savings accounts.

The amendment, which was agreed to after Vice President Pence broke a 50-50 tie, would allow people to use 529 savings accounts for K-12 tuition and not just college.

Democrats said the change is a backdoor way to drive people toward private school instead of public schools.

This is also the first time Pence has been needed for a vote.

ADVERTISEMENT

11:50: The Congressional Budget Office released its analysis of the newest TCJA's budget impact.

The CBO determined that the final version of the Senate bill would add $1.4478 trillion to the deficit over 10 years, just squeezing under the $1.5 trillion limit allowed under Senate rules.

9:30: Chuck Schumer makes a motion to suspend debate.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer made a motion to recess the Senate until Monday and delay the vote until the Democrats can read the new changes to the bill.

"

ADVERTISEMENT

The motion failed 48 to 52. The vote was along party lines.

9:20 pm: Democrats slam change to bill that appears to only help a single, conservative college.

Democrats slammed a new provision in the updated TCJA that exempts any college or university that declines federal funding under Title IV from a new 1.4% excise tax on large university endowments.

According to Democrats, this provision would only benefit Hillsdale College, a conservative Michigan school.

8:37 pm: Marco Rubio makes a final pitch for his change to the child tax credit.

ADVERTISEMENT

Sen. Marco Rubio took to the Senate floor to make the case for his amendment that would make the child tax credit refundable up to the amount of payroll taxes, making the credit more generous.

To pay for the change, Rubio wants to cut the corporate rate to 20.94% instead of the 20% proposed in the Republican bill. The TCJA already proposes to increase the credit to $2,000 from $1,000 under current law.

There was a possibility that Democrats could support the amendment, also backed by GOP Sen. Mike Lee. But Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown later said on the floor that bipartisan talks broke down because the Rubio amendment would only be temporary.

6:45: Senate Democrats finally got the bill from the GOP, but its covered in handwritten notes.

In a sample provided to Business Insider, the final version of the bill has numerous handwritten notes in the margin of pages. A few pages were even crossed out with a pen.

ADVERTISEMENT

Democratic lawmakers are complaining about what they say is unreadable handwriting on Twitter.

"Trying to review the #GOPTaxScam but they are making hand-written changes to brand new text as we speak – can anyone else read this?" Sen. Dick Durbin tweeted.

6:00: An amendment to the tax bill could give big breaks to large partnership firms.

An amendment introduced by Sen. John Cornyn would allow publicly traded partnerships (PTPs) to take the pass-through business deduction.

While its unclear the treatment for financial firms, energy master limited partnerships could be able to take the deduction. Many MLPs are based in Cornyn's home state of Texas.

ADVERTISEMENT

5 p.m.: Bob Corker will vote against the bill

Corker, who has long held concerns about the deficit impact of the bill, said he would vote against it. He is so far the only Republican senator to come out against the bill.

"

4 p.m.: Susan Collins officially announces she will vote for the bill

Collins said she secured key changes to the bill — including adjustments to the medical expense deduction and the state and local tax deduction.

ADVERTISEMENT

"

3 p.m.: Sen. Claire McCaskill tweets a list of possible GOP amendments that she got from a lobbyist.

McCaskill, a Democrat from Missouri, tweeted a picture that she said was sent to her by a lobbyist. The list shows a series of amendment from Republicans that are set to be considered and possibly added to the tax bill.

"This is so bad. We have just gotten list of amendments to be included in bill NOT from our R colleagues, but from lobbyists downtown," McCaskill said in the tweet. "None of us have seen this list, but lobbyists have it. Need I say more? Disgusting. And we probably will not even be given time to read them."

2 p.m.: Susan Collins tweets on the bill's treatment of medical expenses, state and local tax, and retirement contributions that got her to "yes."

ADVERTISEMENT

Sen. Susan Collins laid out the details of the changes that got her to support the TCJA. They are:

  • for church, charity, school, & public employees."

1:40: The Senate bill will reportedly keep the alternative minimum tax.

The alternative minimum tax (AMT), a separate tax structure designed to ensure that wealthier Americans don't take massive deductions that help them avoid all taxes, is expected to remain in the Senate bill after last-minute wrangling.

The bill would reportedly increase the threshold at which people must use the AMT.

ADVERTISEMENT

This could be helpful as a pay-for for changes like Collins' partial state and local tax deduction preservation.

12:30: Susan Collins says her compromise on the state and local tax deduction will be in the final bill.

Collins' change would allow people to deduct up to $10,000 of state and local property taxes from their federal bill. Current law allows people to deduct all of their state and local property, income, and sales taxes and the original Senate TCJA would have repealed that completely.

This could make it easier for the Senate and House to reconcile their bills, since Collins' change is exactly the same as the House plan. The deduction is generally a bigger political lift in the House, since there are Republican members from areas like New York and California where state and local taxes are higher.

12:05: Jeff Flake, one of the last Republicans holdouts, is a "yes" on the bill.

ADVERTISEMENT

Flake, who had raised concerns about the bill's impact on the deficit, said in a statement that he would vote for the TCJA.

Flake said he was trying to get two things out of the tax bill: to "eliminate the $85 billion expensing budget gimmick" and a promise from GOP leaders to work with him on a bill to protect the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program.

"Having secured both of those objectives, I am pleased to announce I will vote in support the tax reform bill," Flake said.

12:00 pm: McConnell tells reporters "we have the votes"

Republicans seem pretty confident that they have the 50 votes necessary to pass the TCJA.

ADVERTISEMENT

Sen. Ted Cruz told reporters it is "

11:30 am: The Tax Policy Center says the economic boost from the bill is much less than Republicans promised.

A new analysis from the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center shows that the TCJA would only boost US GDP by 0.7% in 2018. This falls far short of the amount needed for the bill to "pay for itself" as Republican leaders and Trump officials promised.

In fact, the TPC said that even with the additional revenue created from the economic boost the bill would rack up $1.23 trillion in new debt.

10:55 am: GOP leaders think the bill will pass, but Susan Collins pumps the breaks.

ADVERTISEMENT

Senate GOP Whip John Cornyn told reporters that the leadership is feeling pretty good about the tax bill's prospects.

"

For Cornyn's predictions to be the case, Republican leaders need to have Sen. Susan Collins on board but she cautioned against making assumptions.

"

Debate begins and a quick recap

ADVERTISEMENT

Debate on the tax bill is expected to lead off with statements from the party leaders. The first amendment votes are scheduled for 11 a.m. ET.

The Senate will resume the drama that was suspended on Thursday, when GOP leaders called it a night to try and figure out the last-minute changes to their bill.

A final vote was possible Thursday night, but Republican leaders hit a snag when the Joint Committee on Taxation — the official congressional scorekeeper — released an analysis that showed the bill would only increase GDP 0.8% over 10 years.

The analysis also showed the bill would grow the federal deficit by $1 trillion over that timeframe even when accounting for that growth.

The analysis renewed concerns from Sens. Bob Corker and Jeff Flake about the legislation's potential effect on the deficit.

ADVERTISEMENT

The pair's idea of a trigger that would increase federal revenue was ruled impermissible by the Senate parliamentarian, a kind of umpire for Senate rules, sending Republican leaders back to the drawing board.

McConnell and leadership got a boost when Sens. Ron Johnson and Steve Daines, who had been on the fence, said on Friday that they would support the bill. Johnson told Wisconsin radio station WISN that his support gave Republicans enough votes to pass the bill even without Corker and Flake.

Politics: Here's who Mitch McConnell needs to win over

While it appears that McConnell may have already secured the necessary 50 votes (with Vice President Mike Pence breaking the tie) with the addition of Johnson and Daines, here are some GOP senators on the fence.

ADVERTISEMENT
  • Bob Corker and Jeff Flake:
  • proposed a "trigger" to increase taxes
  • Susan Collins:
  • Marco Rubio and Mike Lee:
  • introduced an amendment
  • Ron Johnson and Steve Daines:
  • then they needed 23%

Process: Here's what's on tap

The bill is required to go through 20 hours of debate, split evenly between Republicans and Democrats.

As debate starts on Friday, there is roughly seven hours of debate left. After debate concludes, the Senate will have what is known as a vote-a-rama in which members will consider a slew of amendments in succession.

If senators use the full allotted time for debate, that would push the vote-a-rama to around 5 or 6 p.m ET. Republican can also choose to forgo their time, which would move the vote-a-rama up to about 2 p.m. ET if Democrats decide to use all of their debate time.

ADVERTISEMENT

After the vote-a-rama, McConnell would submit the text of the finished bill as a substitute amendment, replacing the original bill text, and the final vote would take place.

9:50: Senate rules trip out some provisions of the tax bill.

According to Richard Rubin at the Wall Street Journal, three pieces of the bill were pulled out due to a violation of the Byrd rule. The rule mandates that all legislation going through budget reconciliation, such as the TCJA, must impact the budget.

The three pieces that were reportedly removed are:

FOLLOW BUSINESS INSIDER AFRICA

Unblock notifications in browser settings.
ADVERTISEMENT

Recommended articles

Congo is spending 22% of its scarce revenue on security - Minister

Congo is spending 22% of its scarce revenue on security - Minister

Another African country is set to get a Russian embassy

Another African country is set to get a Russian embassy

Medic West Africa 2024: A resounding success in fostering collaboration and innovation for a brighter healthcare future

Medic West Africa 2024: A resounding success in fostering collaboration and innovation for a brighter healthcare future

10 African countries with the most troubling external debt in 2024

10 African countries with the most troubling external debt in 2024

10 African countries with the least soft power influence over the world

10 African countries with the least soft power influence over the world

Kenyan government rejects calls to ban TikTok, recommends tighter control over

Kenyan government rejects calls to ban TikTok, recommends tighter control over

Congo accuses Apple of conflict minerals in its supply chain

Congo accuses Apple of conflict minerals in its supply chain

Top 10 African countries with the highest fuel prices in April 2024

Top 10 African countries with the highest fuel prices in April 2024

The gold trade in Uganda makes a huge comeback

The gold trade in Uganda makes a huge comeback

ADVERTISEMENT